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The writer and researcher Robert Kagan, the world will remain in 2012, faces the same old problems and crises, despite what some people claim that the world has changed radically and that the old issues are no longer occupied.
The Kagan - a researcher at the Brookings Institution - in an article published in his newspaper, the Washington Post, that one of those old issues of renewable at the global level is in the nature of the system of government swing between democracy and autocracy, or the rule of the individual.
He added that the countries experiencing unrest and political transformations in the world, will suffer the same problems.
He also pointed to the political crisis in Russia under the problems faced by Prime Minister Vladimir Putin, and to what he described as the possible repercussions on the country's foreign policy and then to the world in general.
He added that the popular revolution against the regime of President Bashar al-Assad and political unrest in the country will contribute to the formation of the international system, explaining that in the event of the fall of Iran's al-Assad would become more isolated, and that the system will be more fragile and vulnerable.
The Kagan - a researcher at the Brookings Institution - in an article published in his newspaper, the Washington Post, that one of those old issues of renewable at the global level is in the nature of the system of government swing between democracy and autocracy, or the rule of the individual.
He added that the countries experiencing unrest and political transformations in the world, will suffer the same problems.
He also pointed to the political crisis in Russia under the problems faced by Prime Minister Vladimir Putin, and to what he described as the possible repercussions on the country's foreign policy and then to the world in general.
He added that the popular revolution against the regime of President Bashar al-Assad and political unrest in the country will contribute to the formation of the international system, explaining that in the event of the fall of Iran's al-Assad would become more isolated, and that the system will be more fragile and vulnerable.
Civil warThe fall of the Assad regime would leave negative repercussions on what he described by the forces that received the support of Iranian, such as Lebanon's Hezbollah and the Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas), and then the implications of another sporadic peace in the Middle East.
As for the reform in the Arab world, says writer would get more of what he described enzyme adrenaline.
He added that the administration of U.S. President Barack Obama may be too hasty in the military withdrawal from Iraq, which threatens to continue the struggle for power in the war-torn country, warning of a plunge Iraq into sectarian civil war.
He explained that it may difficult to control the crisis in Iraq, in light of what he described as the intervention of both Iran and Saudi Arabia and other countries in the region dramatically in Iraq to protect their interests.
Conditions of turbulentAs in Egyptian affairs, said by the political situation will remain volatile and unstable in the era after the fall of the ousted regime of President Hosni Mubarak, and that the risk will remain high.
Kagan pointed to the future of the ruling regimes in North Korea, Myanmar and other areas in the world, and said it will remain controversial, with the consequences of an important strategy for China and the United States, Japan and other regional powers.
He also pointed to issues of military force in the world and the so-called soft power and smart power, pointing out that the most difficult challenges will revolve around what he called the old style of hard military power.
He wondered whether Israel would use force against Iran, and whether the United States or its allies will play a role in the end against Syria for what he described as the protection of civilians as it did with Libya.
As the writer mentioned the role played by the United States on most international issues, he said that Washington may not be able to provide solutions to the problems of the world.
Source: The Washington Post
As for the reform in the Arab world, says writer would get more of what he described enzyme adrenaline.
He added that the administration of U.S. President Barack Obama may be too hasty in the military withdrawal from Iraq, which threatens to continue the struggle for power in the war-torn country, warning of a plunge Iraq into sectarian civil war.
He explained that it may difficult to control the crisis in Iraq, in light of what he described as the intervention of both Iran and Saudi Arabia and other countries in the region dramatically in Iraq to protect their interests.
Conditions of turbulentAs in Egyptian affairs, said by the political situation will remain volatile and unstable in the era after the fall of the ousted regime of President Hosni Mubarak, and that the risk will remain high.
Kagan pointed to the future of the ruling regimes in North Korea, Myanmar and other areas in the world, and said it will remain controversial, with the consequences of an important strategy for China and the United States, Japan and other regional powers.
He also pointed to issues of military force in the world and the so-called soft power and smart power, pointing out that the most difficult challenges will revolve around what he called the old style of hard military power.
He wondered whether Israel would use force against Iran, and whether the United States or its allies will play a role in the end against Syria for what he described as the protection of civilians as it did with Libya.
As the writer mentioned the role played by the United States on most international issues, he said that Washington may not be able to provide solutions to the problems of the world.
Source: The Washington Post
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