Business / Investing
Samir Hassan - Aden
Worried about the political scene of Yemen from chaos possible in the country to derail the early presidential elections to be held on February 21 this month, and comes under the control of al-Qaeda in the province of Abyan and high frequency escalation of protest in the south and the activity of Houthi rebel group in the north.
Cons observers and analysts that the compounding of these concerns is the continued loyal to President Ali Abdullah Saleh to follow the strategy of weakening the party's partner in government and to mobilize his insurgents in the capital Sana'a and Taiz city amid fears of an uncontrollable explosion of a security and military situation
Worst-case scenarioIn the view of the dimensions of head of the Center for Studies in Sana'a researcher Abdul Salam Mohammed that the worst-case scenario is to implement the mysterious assassinations and bombings targeting political leaders and breach of public security to disrupt the election process.
According to Mohamed in the hadeeth of the island revealed that such an option may work through the elements of al Qaeda and Shi'ite and some of the leading figures in the regime of President Saleh, which he said had formed her armed groups his recent after feeling the loss of their interests, and perhaps some who belonged to the southern movement armed.
He suggested that what is recognized in the present time is that there is a partial obstruction of the elections because of the strong presence of militants in Abyan controlled by al-Saada and controlled by the Houthis, and some parts of the southern movement.
He stressed that the movements of the Government of national reconciliation and regional and international community to promote security and military presence and to take any decision as an international armed group hinder the election of a terrorist group, is the primary determinant for the success or failure of the next election.
Efforts of the UNThe political sources in Sanaa revealed to the media yesterday that the permanent members of the UN Security Council and with the Gulf States set up working groups, security, political and economic progress in order to monitor the situation in Yemen and exploded, or prevent the outbreak of violence may hinder the presidential election.
He also stressed the Secretary General of the southern movement in Aden long Brigadier Nasser - who previously announced his joining the revolution - that all the components and the political forces in the southern movement is determined to move towards a boycott of these elections.
He said in a statement to the island revealed that the existing power "has not yet recognized the right of southerners in a clear and so we reject this election because it gives the system the next legal validity," and warned long that the holding of these elections may drag the country back into chaos and discord.
RevengeFor his part, regarded professor of political sociology at the University of Sana'a Abdul Baqi Shamsan that the debate on the election results from the refusal of some political components of the initiative Gulf and implementation mechanisms, pointing out that he should have been on the political system in the government of reconciliation dialogue with those components to create a consensus before proceeding to the election.
Shamsan but assured the island revealed that optimism the success of this election remains in the presence of regional and international control of the events in Yemen, and the potential for chaos to see the existence of revenge Nzai between the number of the parties to the protest community.
He suggested that the components of community protest in Yemen suffers from the legacy among them all Nzai a house red and a rally with Houthi tribe, and the conflict between the mobility of the protest movements in the south and party Islah, who took part in the war of summer 1994.
He added that he should settle disputes between all the components including at least temporarily preserve the cohesion of the components of the community to protest the holding of elections as a prelude to engage in dialogue with a comprehensive settlement of all components.
Source: Al Jazeera